The warnings followed by “actions”: Sana’a imposes the “oil-for-salaries” equation

More than seven months have passed since the truce sponsored by the United Nations had started. It is known that the truce was established because of the urgent need to stop any security threats that could affect the European economy as a result of the Russian-Ukrainian war. Also, since the US keeps mobilizing against Russia and attempts to stifle and besiege it and impose economic sanctions on it. The US aims of achieving expansionist geopolitical goals and deteriorate and destroy Russia.

The UN Truce and American Exploitation

According to information gathered from an American newspaper, the Pentagon is planning to expand and consolidate its military presence in Yemen and the region. Its main task is the provision of military and logistical support to its allies. In addition, the US wants to protect oil sources and to ensure the safety of their arrival and flow to Europe and America in quantities that meet the needs and cover the shortage after getting rid of the Russian oil exports. For this purpose, through the United Nations, the US administration is trying to impose a temporary halt to the war on Yemen, and to prevent any military conflicts in the region from occurring, at least for the time being.

The US seeks to prolong the Russian-Ukrainian war, and this could end up with triggering a world war III. Therefore, the US cannot risk facing another possible war in the Arab region. On the other hand, the Yemeni leadership, in light of the current armistice, is achieving many strategic goals set by the political and military leadership in Sana’a, to build and develop its military capabilities, and to double its deterrent strategic capabilities. It has also announced its full readiness to protect its vital surroundings and Yemen’s sovereign wealth that have been subjected to looting over the past years.

Sana’a Implements its Threats

It is noticeable that this truce reached a dead end. The allies of the US felt military and political defeat before Sana.a, not to mention the successive moral defeats, after Sana’a adhered to the humanitarian conditions for extending the truce. These conditions are represented by opening airports and ports and disbursing employees’ salaries from the proceeds of the looted oil.

In regard to the Yemeni oil that is being looted by the US-Saudi aggressors, the revolutionary, political and military leadership in Sana’a issued many warnings to foreign companies. Moreover, the leadership advised foreign companies operating in the countries of aggression to quickly arrange their business and leave, warning them that they have invested in an unsafe environment. In translation of these threats, which were not absurd or for the media, the Yemeni armed forces launched a warning operation against an oil tanker that tried to penetrate the Yemeni territorial waters by heading to the Dabba port to loot nearly two million barrels of Yemeni crude oil. This was last Friday afternoon, October 21, and based on intelligence reports and superior skill in the use of technological means, Sana’a was able to impose new rules of engagement, which reflected the extent of its ability to maneuver and the superiority of its forces in neutralizing hostile targets at any point on the map of operations.

Oil in Exchange for Salaries

The warning operation, as Sana called it, had major repercussions on the political and economic levels, especially on the fundamentally tense situation in Europe. The Yemeni armed forces, through its spokesman, Brigadier General Yahya Saree, summarized some options that they may use in the event that the UN system is unable to control British-US-Saudi escalating actions.

The first option is represented in activating the Yemeni oil strategy in exchange for salaries. What increases the effects of this strategy is the launching of a tactical attack, in the event of non-response and the failure of the truce. What led to activating this strategy is the intransigence and the forces of aggression’s disavowal of their obligations and conditions of the truce state, in addition to the continued looting of wealth. Therefore, Yemen has made it clear that all the ships that did not comply with the warnings of Sana’a in the Yemeni territorial waters will be targeted. This option can further expand in range, to reach locations in the sea, the Gulf, and the ocean. This option would go towards horrific and terrifying results for the forces of aggression and its international sponsors.

As for the second option: It is represented in a logical theory of “reciprocity”, which is the option that may be the best and just for Sana’a, which has suffered and is suffering from the aggression-imposed siege and suffocation. Therefore, Sana’a, in light of the nature of the emerging global conditions and the existing processes in the eastern gate of Europe, can start its harshest disciplinary strikes, ballistic and drone strikes, to vital and economic facilities and sites in the depths of the countries of aggression, to make the main enemy and its puppets swallow some of this bitterness. The American and British administrations alike are suffering from a decline in the level of their power and dominance, as it miscalculated its participation, even indirectly, in the aggression against Yemen.

Sana’a Gains Geopolitical Power, the Historical Capital of Yemen

More than one attempt by the forces of aggression and their sponsors to take advantage of the time factor by passing projects and plans to target the Yemeni interior in the areas under the control of the Sana’a government, and to blow its surroundings into chaos and strike the cohesion of the home front, through destabilization and the use of unconventional methods of war in this battle, failed. It was also unable to achieve the slightest breakthrough in its people, and this was confirmed by the latest military parades and mass celebrations.

It has to be realized that all options are open for Sana’a, especially the use of strategic weapons in addition to tactical ground operations represented by activating the theory of comprehensive invasion, which field commanders in Sana’a are betting on, in the event of an increase in escalation by the forces of aggression.

Sana’a naturally excels over others, and the reality today imposes a geopolitical power to Sana’a, the historical capital of Yemen, to control the waterways and sea routes in its favor.

Accordingly, a decisive battle is looming on the horizon, from which none of the rival sides will retreat. Sana’a, in particular, is fully aware that the upcoming process and results must contribute to the crystallization of a new regional power, in light of its possession of many winning cards that have not been used yet.

I think there is no fear of moving from a proxy war by the United States to direct confrontation with it; Because this will not affect the capabilities Sana’a at all. Instead, it may lead to a shift in the rules of the battle, which may witness the entry of anti-American and European hegemonic forces towards restructuring the international system towards multipolarity, so that Yemen will have the first to participate in it. This will become vivid in the next few days, amid this inevitable escalation between the various actors.

By: Abdul Qawi Al-Subai